Markets/Australia/Sydney
SydneyABSquarterlyTESTNET ACTIVE

Will Sydney established-house median price exceed A$1.5M by Q2 2027?

Resolves to YES if the official ABS Cat 6432.0 median sale price for established houses in Greater Sydney reports strictly greater than A$1,500,000 in Q2 2027.

Official Specification
Target Period:2027-Q2
Official Source:ABS
Series Identifier:Cat 6432.0 Total Value of Dwellings — Greater Sydney Median House Price
Latest Publication:2026-Q2
Estimated Resolution:September 2027
UNDERLYING HOUSING INDEXOFFICIAL BUREAU SERIES
Unit: AUD (Australian Dollars) • Real Historical Observations
Official Observations
Baseline (2026-Q2)
Target (2027-Q2)
1350k1429k1508k1590k2023-Q32025-Q12026-Q2
Data Authority: Sovereign National Statistical Agency
Verified Time Series Observations: 12

RESOLUTION RULE

DETERMINISTIC EVALUATION
YES IF

ABS Sydney index at 2027-Q2 exceeds threshold level 1500000%

OTHERWISE

NO

Official Provider:Australian Bureau of Statistics
Dataset:Cat 6432.0 Total Value of Dwellings — Greater Sydney Median House Price
Region / Jurisdiction:Sydney, Australia
Publication Frequency:quarterly
Target Period:2027-Q2
Resolution Method:Deterministic Mathematical Assertion
Regional Housing Dynamics

Sydney home prices trade near record valuations. Strong immigration intake and construction capacity limitations compete directly against borrowing capacity limits.

Testnet Protocol Execution
SOLANA / TESTNET

Connect a Solana Testnet wallet to interact with this market contract.

Deposit Amount (testUSDC):

Depositing 10 TEST USDC locks collateral in the isolated PDA vault and mints exactly 10 YES + 10 NO tokens directly to your ATA. Fixed 1:1 pair collateralization — zero AMM slippage.

Program ID:J75RtY...CNvi
Market PDA:38Roco...wauy
Vault PDA:F4fxiz...D9ed
SOURCE & VERIFICATIONOFFICIAL
Official Provider:Australian Bureau of Statistics
Dataset Series:Cat 6432.0 Total Value of Dwellings — Greater Sydney Median House Price
Latest Published Period:2026-Q2
Latest Observation:A$1,487,600
Update Frequency:quarterly
Resolution Methodology:Predefined deterministic evaluation